Category Archives: US Economy

Worst Restaurant Tailspin Since 2009/2010 Crushes Lower End

So another chain restaurant is “preparing” to bite the dust. Ignite Restaurant Group, which operates the Joe’s Crab Shack chain with 113 locations and the Brick House Tavern chain with 25 locations, and used to operate the Romano’s Macaroni Grill chain with 150 locations until it sold it in 2015, is preparing to file for bankruptcy, “people familiar with the matter” told Bloomberg.

In the quarter ended September 26, 2016, the last quarter for which the company bothered to release an earnings report, same-store sales fell 6.8%; total revenues plunged 10% to $120 million.

A liquidity problem turns into a solvency problem: It had $729,000 of cash and about $26 million of “available borrowing capacity under its current credit facility.” Not exactly a lot, considering that the company lost $15.2 million in Q3, up from a loss of $4 million in Q3 2015.

It had $179 million in liabilities, including $113 million in long-term debt. It shares, which had traded as high as $19 in 2013, have consistently trended lower since, became a penny stock last year, and are now just about worthless (2 cents).
For chain restaurants, it’s really tough out there.

Industry-wide, same-store foot traffic fell 3.3% in April year-over-year. For the past three months, traffic is down 3.9%. Same-store sales in April fell 1.0% are down 1.8% for the past three months, according to TDn2K’s Restaurant Industry Snapshot

Source: Worst Restaurant Tailspin Since 2009/2010 Crushes Lower End | Gold and Precious Metals

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Visualizing America’s Retail Apocalypse | Zero Hedge

The steady rise of online retail sales should have surprised no one. As Visual Capitalist’s Jeff Desjardins notes, back in 2000, less than 1% of retail sales came from e-commerce. However, online sales have climbed each and every year since then, even through the Great Recession. By 2009, e-commerce made up about 4.0% of total retail sales, and today the latest number we have is 8.3%.

Here’s another knowledge bomb: it’s going to keep growing for the foreseeable future. Huge surprise, right?…

 

Source: Visualizing America’s Retail Apocalypse | Zero Hedge

The Coming Debt Reckoning | Zero Hedge

American workers, as a whole, are facing a disagreeable disorder.  Their debt burdens are increasing.  Their incomes are stagnating.

There are many reasons why.  In truth, it would take several large volumes to chronicle all of them.  But when you get down to the ‘lick log’ of it all, the disorder stems from decades of technocratic intervention that have stripped away any semblance of a free functioning, self-correcting economy.

The financial system circa 2017, and the economy that supports it, has been stretched to the breaking point.  Shortsighted fiscal and monetary policies have propagated it.  The result is a failing financial order that has become near intolerable for all but the gravy supping political class and their cronies.

Take consumer spending.  This is the primary driver of the U.S. economy.  Yet it requires vast amounts of credit.  In fact, American consumers presently hold $1 trillion in revolving credit.  At the same time, they have nowhere near the income needed to finance these debts, let alone pay them off.

Remember, the flipside of credit is debt.  Obviously, the divergence of increasing debt and stagnating incomes is a condition that cannot go on forever.  But it can go on much longer than any sensible person would consider possible.

Debt Slaves

If you haven’t noticed, the financial services industry is extremely accomplished at compelling people to go whole hog into debt.  Moreover, the entire fiat based financial system, which depends on ever increasing issuances of debt, hinges on it.  Just a slight contraction of credit, like late 2008, and the whole debt repayment structure breaks down.

On an individual basis, there are only so many credit cards that can be maxed out before the shell game ends.  Wolf Richter, of Wolf Street, recently clarified the relationship between the economy and deep consumer debt:

“The US economy is fueled by credit.  Americans turning themselves into debt slaves makes it tick.  Take it away, and what little growth there is – nearly zero in the first quarter – will dissipate into ambient air altogether.  So it’s time to take the pulse of our American debt slaves.

“In a new study, life insurer and financial services provider Northwestern Mutual found that 45 percent of Americans that have debt spend ‘up to half of their monthly income on debt repayment.’  Those are the true debt slaves.

“Excluding mortgage debt, Americans carry an average debt of $37,000.  Of them, 47 percent carry $25,000 or more, and more than 10 percent carry $100,000 or more in debt, excluding mortgage debt.

“Most of them expect to get out of debt before they die, but 14 percent expect to be in debt ‘for the rest of their lives.”’

Source: The Coming Debt Reckoning | Zero Hedge

DR WILLIAM MOUNT: Trump’s Got Stones – Protects 2nd Amendment

Standing up in front of the main Stream Media and an NRA Gathering in Atlanta President Trump clearly stated he will protect the 2nd Amendment as a right coming form GOD.

Without the right to Keep and Bear Arms – no other law matters. This and the freedom of speech, form the basis of any free society.

When the People fear the Government we have Tyranny – like we have today in America.

When the Government fears the people we have freedom.

The significance of this statement is this:

In 1871 Congress passed the Organic Constitution eliminating all rights given to us under the Constitution of 1783 if you Capitalize your name.

Thus: William Mount, WILLIAM MOUNT – represent corporations controlled by these Departments and Agencies and are registered as a Corporations at the Office of Registrar in DC.

Further – since you are not allowed access to your Corporate Moneys through the use of a 5444E or US Treasury Form 211- the system must now come down.

-william mount- is not a corporation and still a party to the original constitution an not subject to any Silly Laws Congress has passed since 1871 – but be careful.

President Trump is Chief Manager of the US Corporation – solely owned by the UN, which is owned by the Rothchilds. As the current Manager of this corporation he determines how to employ  the rules set under his charge – not Congress, not the Supreme Court.

If President Trump wished to over rule a “Judge” or arrest a “Judge” he has the right to do this.

Period.

So it appears that for the next 4 years we have the right to keep and bear arms – we hope…

Source: DR WILLIAM MOUNT: Trump’s Got Stones – Protects 2nd Amendment

X22Report Central Bankers Tricks Are Now Being Used Against Them to Bring the Economy Down – Episode 1263a


Report date: 04.25.2017

Consumer confidence stumbles and stock market soars.

J Crew letting 150 employees go.

Housing prices surge in the 20 bubble cities and new home sales surge according to the government.

Trump pushing for a corporate tax like Obama.

Trump budget for the wall won’t be a problem with the debt ceiling because he will wait until later this year to discuss.

Trump is borrowing and creating more bubbles, using the central banker’s trick to bring down the market.

All source links to the report can be found on the x22report.com site.

Source: X22Report Central Bankers Tricks Are Now Being Used Against Them to Bring the Economy Down – Episode 1263a | Politics

11 Facts That Prove That The U.S. Economy In 2017 Is In Far Worse Shape Than It Was In 2016 | Prepare for Change

By Michael Snyder,

There is much debate about where the U.S. economy is ultimately heading, but what everybody should be able to agree on is that economic conditions are significantly worse this year than they were last year.  It is being projected that U.S. economic growth for the first quarter will be close to zero, thousands of retail stores are closing, factory output is falling, and restaurants and automakers have both fallen on very hard times.  As economic activity has slowed down, commercial and consumer bankruptcies are both rising at rates that we have not seen since the last financial crisis.  Everywhere you look there are echoes of 2008, and yet most people still seem to be in denial about what is happening.  The following are 11 facts that prove that the U.S. economy in 2017 is in far worse shape than it was in 2016…

#1 It is being projected that there will be more than 8,000 retail store closings in the United States in 2017, and that will far surpass the former peak of 6,163 store closings that we witnessed in 2008.

#2 The number of retailers that have filed for bankruptcy so far in 2017 has already surpassed the total for the entire year of 2016.

#3 So far in 2017, an astounding 49 million square feet of retail space has closed down in the United States.  At this pace, approximately 147 million square feet will be shut down by the end of the year, and that would absolutely shatter the all-time record of 115 million square feet that was shut down in 2001.

#4 The Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now model is projecting that U.S. economic growth for the first quarter of 2017 will come in at just 0.5 percent.  If that pace continues for the rest of the year, it will be the worst year for U.S. economic growth since the last recession.

#5 Restaurants are experiencing their toughest stretch since the last recession, and in March things continued to get even worse

Foot traffic at chain restaurants in March dropped 3.4% from a year ago. Menu prices couldn’t be increased enough to make up for it, and same-store sales fell 1.1%. The least bad region was the Western US, where sales inched up 1.2% year-over-year and traffic fell only 1.7%, according to TDn2K’s Restaurant Industry Snapshot. The worst was the NY-NJ Region, where sales plunged 4.6% and foot traffic 6.3%.

This comes after a dismal February, when foot traffic had dropped 5% year-over-year, and same-store sales 3.7%….

Source: 11 Facts That Prove That The U.S. Economy In 2017 Is In Far Worse Shape Than It Was In 2016 | Prepare for Change

‘Retail Bubble Has Now Burst’: Record 8,640 Stores Are Closing In 2017

Thousands of new doors opened and rents soared. This created a bubble, and like housing, that bubble has now burst.”

– Richard Hayne, Urban Outfitters CEO, March 2017

The devastation in the US retail sector is accelerating in 2017, and in addition to the surging number of brick and mortar retail bankruptcies, it is perhaps nowhere more obvious than in the soaring number of store closures.

While the shuttering of retail stores has been a frequent topic on this website, most recently in the context of the next “big short”, namely the ongoing deterioration in the mall REITs and associated Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities and CDS, here is a stunning fact from Credit Suisse:“Barely a quarter into 2017, year-to-date retail store closings have already surpassed those of 2008.”

According to the Swiss bank’s calculations, on a unit basis, approximately 2,880 store closings were announced YTD, more than twice as many closings as the 1,153 announced during the same period last year. Historically, roughly 60% of store closure announcements occur in the first five months of the year. By extrapolating the year-to-date announcements, CS estimates that there could be more than 8,640 store closings this year, which will be higher than the historical 2008 peak of approximately 6,200 store closings, which suggests that for brick-and-mortar stores stores the current transition period is far worse than the depth of the credit crisis depression…

Source: ‘Retail Bubble Has Now Burst’: Record 8,640 Stores Are Closing In 2017 | Economy