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This was a holiday-shorted week, due to Good Friday, and we are posting this Monday evening due to today being a holiday in much of the world.
Gold and silver went up the dollar went down, +$33 and +$0.53 -64mg gold and -.05g silver. The prices of the metals in dollar terms are readily available, and the price of the dollar in terms of honest money can be easily calculated. The point of this Report is to look into the market to understand the fundamentals of supply and demand. This can’t necessarily tell you what the price will do tomorrow. However, it tells you where the price should be, if physical metal were to clear based on supply and demand.
Of course, two factors make this very interesting. One is that the speculators use leverage, and they can move the price around. At least for a while. The other is that the fundamentals change. There is no guarantee that the prices of the metals will reach the fundamental price of a given day. Think of the fundamentals as gravity, not the strongest force in the system but inexorable, tugging every day.
This week, the fundamentals of both metals moved, though not together. We will take a look at that below, but first, the price and ratio charts.
The Prices of Gold and Silver
Next, this is a graph of the gold price measured in silver, otherwise known as the gold to silver ratio. It didn’t move much this week.
The Ratio of the Gold Price to the Silver Price
For each metal, we will look at a graph of the basis and cobasis overlaid with the price of the dollar in terms of the respective metal. It will make it easier to provide brief commentary. The dollar will be represented in green, the basis in blue and cobasis in red.
Here is the gold graph.
The Gold Basis and Cobasis and the Dollar Price
The scarcity (i.e. the cobasis, the red line) is in a gentle rising trend for about six months. This week, the cobasis was down slightly. Not a surprise given the (relatively) big price move of +$33. Nor does it appear to break the trend.
Our calculated fundamental price of gold is at $1,301, just above the market price.
Now let’s look at silver.
The Silver Basis and Cobasis and the Dollar Price
In silver, it’s much harder to say that there is an uptrend in the cobasis. Our indicator of scarcity is at the same level it was in October. Back then, the price of silver was $17.60 and on Thursday it was just about 90 cents higher.
The fundamental price back then was just under $15. Now it’s just under $16.50. This happens to be down about 40 cents this week.
With the fundamental of gold rising, and that of silver falling, it’s not surprising that the fundamental gold-silver ratio is up to a bit over 79.
Source: Gold-Silver Divergence, Report 17 April, 2017 | Gold and Precious Metals
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It’s a sort of tradition around here that whenever we have a three-day market holiday weekend, we try to check in with Jim Willie. And this time, we used our A2A webinar format so that subscribers of TFMR were able to ask their own questions in real time. It was great fun and I think you’ll find it all quite thought-provoking.
What topics did we discuss over this 97-minute call? Maybe a better question is…what topics did we not discuss? In this podcast you’ll here Jim pontificate on Trump, Syria, North Korea, gold, China, gold trade notes, silver, the mining shares, the Fed, debt jubilee, interest rates, the dollar, platinum and even his thoughts on Journey entering the Rock-and-Roll Hall of Fame.
So sit back, relax and enjoy. And have a great holiday weekend, too.
TF
Jim Willie is an original. If you want to be official about it, you can call Jim a “statistical analyst” as Jim has a PhD in statistics from Carnegie Mellon. Since 2004, however, he’s simply been known as “The Golden Jackass”.
Through his website http://www.goldenjackass.com/ Jim has developed a subscription-based newsletter service which is second-to-none in its quality and its “outside-the-box” thinking. Jim’s very affordable service, The Hat Trick Letter, can be found here: http://www.goldenjackass.com/subscribe.html
p.s. As you can tell by his bio picture, he has an extraordinarily large brain, which he uses to all of our benefit.
Source: Jim Willie Golden Jackass Hat Trick Letter interview | TF Metals Report
Clif High tells FinanceAndLiberty his calculations are predicting a “gold rush” in the coming months. As for the silver market, High says a slippage of control will occur between now and May.
Clif High has a patent on computer-assisted reading technology which allows reading from computer screens at up to 2000 words per minute. Reaching into other areas of hidden potential within language use by humans, he has been developing a system of software internet agents (like search engines use) and other proprietary processing methods to predict future events.
The software project, begun in 1997, captures near-real-time changes in language patterns within internet discussions. Then, employing radical linguistic techniques of his own devising, he develops a model which anticipates future events with some seeming accuracy. The processing has, at its core, a method of assigning emotional values to complex content and time carry-values to predict changes in future behavior based on how people are using language now.
Since June 2001 when the work projected a major ‘tipping point’, that is a ‘life-changing event’ with aspects of ‘military and accident’ that would forever change the way we live to occur inside 90 days, the web bot project has continued to give archetype descriptors of future events such as the anthrax attack in Washington, the crash of American 587, the Columbia disaster, the Northeast Power outage, the Banda Aceh earthquake and most recently the flooding of the Red River. As a continuing project, reports are offered from the extracted archetype information at his web site, http://www.halfpasthuman.com.
Source: Gold Rush and End of Silver Price Manipulation via Clif High (Video) | Gold and Precious Metals
04/07/2017 Friday – Jim Willie on The Strength in Silver and China’s Bitch (JP Morgan).
GoldenJackass.com is where you can find Jim Willie who doesn’t give a damn about plastic Dollars, but does explain how a gold-backed currency basket of nations might leave the US the odd man out.
GoldenJackass.com Summary
(Get Your Hat Trick Newsletter Today)
topics covered include
– Syrian War with US-led hidden ISIS involvement in grand confusion
– falsified ISIS videos continue with guerrillas posing as rescue workers over fake victims
– risk to paper assets with favor to Gold & Silver investments
– the grand suppression of the Gold market since the Lehman event during the QE hyper monetary inflation episode
– the 5-fold rise in money supply since Lehman event as justification for 5-fold sudden rise in Gold price
– the stupid argument (propaganda) of not sufficient amount of Gold bullion to cover currencies as pure Keynesian rubbish
– the USFed rate hikes with ulterior motives but with risk to undermine the USDollar credibility
– the fear rises on the puffed up bloated bubbly USDollar currency market
– the sequence likely to occur on Gold RESET with trade payment, then bank reserves, then gold backed currencies
– the profound challenges for remedy to the gargantuan imbalances in the financial world
– the imbalances which should not continue since so difficult to remedy (straw dog heresy)
– the emerging dual universe of a USD-based West versus an RMB & Gold-based East
Source: 04/07/2017 Friday – Jim Willie on The Strength in Silver and China’s Bitch (JP Morgan) – Ochelli.com
Internet data mining expert Clif High uses what he calls “predictive linguistics” to spot trends and make predictions for future events. In his latest in-depth report, High sees a “huge” calamity coming for humanity. Clif High explains, “There is all kinds of data for money and lack of money and lack of funding and all kinds of emotions around this. There are hints in the data that something huge is coming for August and September that is being exposed by the language now. I think it’s a bond crash or not a bond crash because I don’t know how that works. It’s not a stock market crash. The data I am looking at now says the stock market is not meaningful. We may lose 50 cents on every dollar in the stock market in just a few days, but it’s meaningless. It won’t make any difference at all to anybody according to what the data is showing me because the real crisis is in the crash of government.”
High goes on to explain, “The emotions at the moment are projecting a crash of the ability of the state to function. . . . We have the projection that there is going to be some sort of big government crash. It concerns funding, interruption or something. . . . We have something akin to a definition change relative to bonds. . . . One way to think about this is there is going to be a human collective or re-understanding, or new understanding, about the whole bond market as we go forward in August, September and October. This is going to cause huge disruptions for governments, which basically depends on the bonds as its source of funds. I don’t know what that definition is going to mean, but the way the language is presenting itself, it’s very much like the same language that appeared in newspapers ahead of the Bretton Woods conference. . . . At that time, a bunch of countries got together around WWII and talked about how to deal with gold, money and the dollar after the war was over. . . . We have that same kind of language now relative to the bonds. . . .This redefinition is going to cause real problems relative to governments. If I had to guess, I don’t think we will have a stock market crash, but a government crash or Fed crash or bank crash. I don’t think a stock market crash will be meaningful because by the time it crashes, nobody will care because before we get there, the Fed will crash. The Fed is the market.”
Maybe this is why Clif High is also seeing language that prices are going up for things like Bitcoin, gold and silver. Clif is seeing the term “gold fever” repeatedly. He is also seeing the term “silver rush” for the white metal. High contends, “The amount of pressure they have had to use to push down on gold and silver prices means when it starts to go up, there will be a bit of a flutter. Then, they are going to push down harder, and then it’s just going to blow. The language is suggesting that this is really happening around silver.” High also says at some point in the not so distant future, prices will be rising so fast that “no one will be selling gold and silver.”
High says another thing he sees is chaos in politics and the economy, and he contends this is all part of the “first ever global government crash.”
Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Clif High of HalfPastHuman.com.
(There is much more in the in-depth video interview.)
After the Interview:
You can find Clif High’s latest report, which is 42 pages long, on HalfPastHuman.com. Just go to the site and scroll down to the latest report which is called “Two Tribes.” The report is only $15 and there is a 100%, no questions asked, money back guarantee.
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Source: First Ever Global Govt Crash Coming – Greg Hunter, Clif High Video | Economy
